Archive for the ‘SREC Markets’ Category

SRECTrade Markets Report: January 2015

Posted February 20th, 2015 by SRECTrade.

The following post is a monthly update outlining the megawatts of solar capacity certified to create SRECs in the Solar REC markets that SRECTrade serves. All PJM data is based on the information available in PJM GATS as of the date noted. All MA data is based on the information provided by the DOER as of the date noted. This analysis does not include projects that are not yet registered and certified with the entities noted herein.

A PDF copy of this table can be found here.

Capacity_January2015

Overview of PJM Eligible Systems Through 2/4/2015

There are 55,478 facilities registered in GATS as of 2/4/2015. See below for a more detailed breakdown.

There are 300 projects over 1 MW in capacity, representing 872.9 MW or 42.6% of the qualified capacity. The largest projects in PJM are concentrated in NJ and MD. There are 38 projects over 5 MW or larger. These make up 18.3% of all qualified capacity in PJM. The top 5 largest projects are listed below.

Screenshot_021915_085038_PM

NJ Office of Clean Energy Estimated Installed Capacity Through 1/31/15

On February 6, 2015, the New Jersey Office of Clean Energy (OCE) announced total installed solar capacity reached 1,438.9 MW through 1/31/15; an increase of approximately 7.0 MW over the total capacity reported through the end of January 2015. The average last six month build rate per month, according to the OCE data, is 17.0 MW. Note that this data does not directly tie to GATS registration data because of a lag between NJ Office of Clean Energy certifications and GATS registrations.

Overview of MA DOER SREC-I and SREC-II Eligible Systems

SREC-I Program

The Massachusetts SREC-I program was capped on June 30, 2014. As of 2/12/2015 the DOER reported that 30.0 MW of solar is still listed as Qualified but not operational. In total, 654.8 MW of capacity is listed as qualified, of which 624.8 MW is operational.

SREC-II Program

The SREC-II program opened on April 25, 2014. The program is broken in to Market Sectors. For a detailed overview of the regulations regarding SREC-II please visit here. As of 2/12/2015, 210.7 MW of capacity is currently qualified under the SREC-II program, but only 83.5 MW is operational.

How to Interpret The Capacity Table at the Top of this Post

The tables above demonstrate the capacity breakout by state. Note, that for all PJM GATS registered projects, each state includes all projects certified to sell into that state. State RPS programs that allow for systems sited in other states to participate have been broken up by systems sited in-state and out-of-state. Additional detail has been provided to demonstrate the total capacity of systems only certified for one specific state market versus being certified for multiple state markets. For example, PA includes projects only certified to sell into the PA SREC market, broken out by in-state and out-of-state systems, as well as projects that are also certified to sell into PA and Other State markets broken out by in state and out of state systems (i.e. OH, DC, MD, DE, NJ). PA Out-of-State includes systems sited in states with their own state SREC market (i.e. DE) as well as systems sited in states that have no SREC market (i.e. VA). Also, it is important to note that the Current Capacity represents the total megawatts eligible to produce and sell SRECs as of the noted date, while the Estimated Required Capacity – Current and Next Reporting Year represents the estimated number of MW that need to be online on average throughout the reporting period to meet the RPS requirement within each state with only that particular compliance period vintage. For example, New Jersey needed approximately 496.7 MW online for the entire 2013 reporting year to meet the RPS requirement with 2013 vintage SRECs only. SRECs still available from prior eligible periods can also impact the Solar RPS requirements. Additionally, the data presented above does not include projects that are in the pipeline or currently going through the registration process in each state program. This data represents specifically the projects that have been approved for the corresponding state SREC markets as of the dates noted.

Note: SREC requirements for markets without fixed SREC targets have been forecast based on EIA Report “Retail Sales of Electricity by State by Provider” updated 11/8/13. Projected SRECs required utilizes the most recent EIA electricity data applying an average 1.5% growth rate per forecast year. The state’s RPS Solar requirement is then multiplied by forecast total electricity sales to arrive at projected SRECs required. Projected capacity required is based on a factor of 1,200 MWh in PJM states and 1,160 MWh in MA, generated per MW of installed capacity per year.

Illinois Commerce Commission Issues Final Order on Supplemental PV Procurement Plan

Posted January 27th, 2015 by SRECTrade.

On June 28, 2014, Illinois Governor Pat Quinn signed Illinois House Bill 2427 into law as Public Act 98-0672, creating the new Section 1-56(i) of the Illinois Power Agency Act (“IPA Act”). This Section called upon the Illinois Power Agency (“IPA”) to “develop a one-time supplemental procurement plan limited to the procurement of renewable energy credits, if available, from new or existing photovoltaics, including, but not limited to, distributed photovoltaic generation” using up to $30 million from the Renewable Energy Resources Fund (“RERF”). (20 ILCS 3855/1-56(i)(1)).

As required by Section 1-56(i), the IPA held a workshop on August 7, 2014 and subsequently presented its Draft Supplemental Plan for public comment on September 29, 2014. Comments were received by October 14, 2014, at which point the IPA prepared its revised plan for submission to the Illinois Commerce Commission (“Commission”). Documents related to the August 7th workshop and Draft Supplemental Plan are available here.

On October 28, 2014, the IPA submitted to the Commission its proposed supplemental procurement plan (“Supplemental Plan”). The documents submitted in the Initial ICC Filing are available here. Per the Commission, the Supplemental Plan is designed to “ensure adequate, reliable, affordable, efficient, and environmentally sustainable renewable energy resources (including credits) at the lowest total cost over time, taking into account any benefits of price stability.” (Id.).

On January 21, 2015 the Commission issued its Final Order (“Order”) on the Supplemental Plan submitted with the IPA’s October 28, 2014 petition. The Commission approved the Supplemental Plan, subject to several modifications set forth in the prefatory portion of the Order.

The Supplemental Plan defines the products to be procured as “Renewable Energy Credits (“RECs”) from new photovoltaic systems with contracts of five years in length.” The definition of “new” is defined as “energized on or after the date of approval of the Supplemental PV Procurement Plan.”

The Procurement Process will consist of three procurement events, plus a fourth contingency event, that will take place over a two year period. The three procurement events will be held as follows (as modified by the Order):

  1. June 2015: $5 million allocated
    • For facilities under 25 kW: 500 REC minimum bid/5,000 REC maximum bid*
    • For facilities including and over 25 kW: 500 kW maximum system size and 500 REC minimum bid/no REC maximum bid
  2. November 2015: $10 million allocated
    • For facilities under 25 kW: 500 REC minimum bid/no REC maximum bid (representing 50% of RECs in this procurement event)
    • For facilities including and over 25 kW to 500 kW: representing 15% of RECs in this procurement event
    • For facilities over 500 kW to 2 MW: representing 35% of RECs in this procurement event
  3. March 2016: $15 million allocated
    • For facilities under 25 kW: 500 REC minimum bid/no REC maximum bid
    • For facilities including and over 25 kW: 2 MW maximum system size and 500 REC minimum bid/no REC maximum bid

If there is an outstanding balance of available funds once the three procurement events have taken place, a fourth contingency event will take place in early 2017. The IPA noted in the Supplemental Plan that this event will possibly limit the categories of systems that may participate.

Across the procurement events, there are several key provisions and requirements:

  • There are two or three categories of procurement (as detailed above and as modified by the Order):
    • Under 25 kW systems can include identified systems or bids for “speculative” systems.
    • Over 25 kW systems must be specifically identified prior to bidding.
  • A capacity factor of 14.38% will be applied to the DC nameplate capacity, which will be used to calculate the number of RECs that will be produced over the 5-year life of the contract.
  • For each category in each procurement event, the minimum bid is 500 RECs (roughly sixteen 5 kW systems).
  • Credit requirements for the procurement shall include a refundable deposit per REC of $16/REC ($100/kW) for “speculative” systems and $8/REC ($50/kW) for identified systems. Bidders will be required to submit half of the deposit for their bid on or before the bid date, and winning bidders will be required to deposit the balance within fourteen (14) days of the announcement of the procurement results.
  • Speculative systems in the under 25 kW category will need to be identified within 6 months of the Procurement Event.
  • Systems will have 12 months from the Procurement Event (or date of identification, whichever is later) to start operation.
  • Revenue Grade Meters will be required for all systems.
  • RECs must be tracked and delivered using either the PJM GATS or M-RETS tracking systems.
  • Standard contracts and a sealed, pay-as-bid Request for Proposal will be used for each procurement event.
  • All bids must be below confidential benchmarks, and bids will be evaluated in a manner that strives to achieve the goal of having half the RECs procured come from systems under 25 kW in size (however, distinct benchmarks prices will be developed for the two size categories).

Under Section 1-56(i), the IPA was charged with “solicit[ing] the use of third-party organizations to aggregate distributed renewable energy into groups of no less than one megawatt in installed capacity.” Accordingly, the IPA defined an aggregator “as a third-party (i.e., non-system owner) that (i) owns or plans to acquire either unconditioned title to or rights to legally transfer renewable energy credits from distributed renewable energy devices through contracts with multiple system owners, and (ii) is willing to contract with IPA and accepts standard Illinois terms as well as procedures for contract administration.” In addition to this definition, the IPA proposed that aggregators will be required to pre-qualify with the IPA by meeting the following provisions:

  • Aggregator is registered to do business in the State of Illinois;
  • Aggregator is able to ensure meter data is collected from aggregated systems; and
  • Aggregator is or will be registered with PJM GATS and/or M-RETS upon contract award.

In its Order, the Commission “recommends that the IPA develop a webpage analogous to the Commission’s “Plug In Illinois” webpage to provide basic information in layman’s terms to potential participants in the SREC procurement for 25 kW PV systems.”

In its petition for the Commission’s approval, the IPA recognized that this plan “cannot address all the needs of the market, or overcome all of the barriers[,]” given the limited funds available. However, the IPA is hopeful that the procurement events will serve as a learning opportunity for the future of solar development in the State of Illinois.

The Order requires the IPA to file the final version of the Supplemental Plan, consistent with the conclusions of the Order, within 30 days of January 21, 2015.

 

 

*Please Note: The term “bid” as used throughout the Supplemental Plan refers to system owners submitting an offer to sell at a given price.

January 22, 2015 New Jersey SREC Market Update Webinar Slides and Recording Available

Posted January 26th, 2015 by SRECTrade.

On January 22, 2015, SRECTrade hosted a webinar on the NJ SREC market. For access to the slides please click here: SRECTrade 01/22/15 NJ SREC Update. For access to a video recording of the webinar, click the image below. Please note, the slides in the link above differ from the recording below. They have been updated to reflect the additional solar capacity installed in December 2014. This announcement was made by the NJ Office of Clean Energy on January 22, 2015.

This document and recording is protected by copyright laws and contains material proprietary to SRECTrade, Inc. It or any components may not be reproduced, republished, distributed, transmitted, displayed, broadcast or otherwise exploited in any manner without the express prior written permission of SRECTrade, Inc. The receipt or possession of this document does not convey any rights to reproduce, disclose, or distribute its contents, or to manufacture, use, or sell anything that it may describe, in whole or in part. If consent to use these materials is granted, a link to the current version of this document on the SRECTrade website must be included for reference.

Maryland Coalition Pushes to Increase Renewable Energy Goals

Posted January 19th, 2015 by SRECTrade.

A group of Maryland renewable energy advocates are proposing to double the state’s Renewable Portfolio Standard in an effort to move forward on clean energy and climate action.

The state’s current benchmark for renewable energy is 20% by 2022; with 2% generated from solar by 2020. The proposed goal would increase the target to 40% by 2025.

State Sen. Brian Feldman has agreed to sponsor the bill in the Senate, but there is currently no House sponsor. Similar legislation was proposed last session, but to no avail. Additionally, Governor Larry Hogan has not yet provided any insight on the subject.

Feldman said in a statement. “Solar is bigger than the crab industry now in this state. This legislation helps expand that prosperity with a sound policy that creates investment certainty for businesses and consumers.”

The legislation is said to improve Maryland’s economy, as states with the best clean energy standards attract more clean energy companies, and therefore more clean energy jobs.

Additional information on this matter will be provided as it becomes available.

SRECTrade Markets Report: December 2014

Posted January 15th, 2015 by SRECTrade.

The following post is a monthly update outlining the megawatts of solar capacity certified to create SRECs in the Solar REC markets that SRECTrade serves. All PJM data is based on the information available in PJM GATS as of the date noted. All MA data is based on the information provided by the DOER as of the date noted. This analysis does not include projects that are not yet registered and certified with the entities noted herein.

A PDF copy of this table can be found here.

Capacity_December2014_jpeg

Overview of PJM Eligible Systems Through 1/6/2015

There are 54,095 facilities registered in GATS as of 1/6/2015. See below for a more detailed breakdown.

Screenshot_011515_054406_PM

There are 300 projects over 1 MW in capacity (up one from November), representing 879.1 MW or 43.3% of the qualified capacity. The largest projects in PJM are concentrated in NJ and MD. There are 39 projects over 5 MW or larger. These make up 18.9% of all qualified capacity in PJM. The top 5 largest projects are listed below.

Dec14 Top 5

NJ Office of Clean Energy Estimated Installed Capacity Through 12/31/14

On January 13, 2015, the New Jersey Office of Clean Energy (OCE) announced total installed solar capacity reached 1,415.9 MW through 12/31/14; an increase of approximately 42.5 MW over the total capacity reported through the end of November 2014. Three (3) projects made up 27.4 MW of the total capacity installed. The average last six month build rate per month, according to the OCE data, is 16.1 MW. Note that this data does not directly tie to GATS registration data because of a lag between NJ Office of Clean Energy certifications and GATS registrations.
Note: On January 22, 2015, the New Jersey Office of Clean Energy (OCE) announced by email that the cumulative solar capacity installed through 12/31/14 was initially understated by 16.0 MW. This additional capacity was comprised of 2 large, grid supply projects. The total installed capacity as of January 22nd was revised to 1,431.9 MW.

Overview of MA DOER SREC-I and SREC-II Eligible Systems

SREC-I Program

The Massachusetts SREC-I program was capped on June 30, 2014. As of 1/12/2015 the DOER reported that 40.6 MW of solar is still listed as Qualified but not operational. In total, 654.7 MW of capacity is listed as qualified, of which 614.1 MW is operational.

SREC-II Program

The SREC-II program opened on April 25, 2014. The program is broken in to Market Sectors. For a detailed overview of the regulations regarding SREC-II please visit here. As of 1/12/2015, 191.5 MW of capacity is currently qualified under the SREC-II program, but only 69.8 MW is operational.

How to Interpret The Capacity Table at the Top of this Post

The tables above demonstrate the capacity breakout by state. Note, that for all PJM GATS registered projects, each state includes all projects certified to sell into that state. State RPS programs that allow for systems sited in other states to participate have been broken up by systems sited in-state and out-of-state. Additional detail has been provided to demonstrate the total capacity of systems only certified for one specific state market versus being certified for multiple state markets. For example, PA includes projects only certified to sell into the PA SREC market, broken out by in-state and out-of-state systems, as well as projects that are also certified to sell into PA and Other State markets broken out by in state and out of state systems (i.e. OH, DC, MD, DE, NJ). PA Out-of-State includes systems sited in states with their own state SREC market (i.e. DE) as well as systems sited in states that have no SREC market (i.e. VA). Also, it is important to note that the Current Capacity represents the total megawatts eligible to produce and sell SRECs as of the noted date, while the Estimated Required Capacity – Current and Next Reporting Year represents the estimated number of MW that need to be online on average throughout the reporting period to meet the RPS requirement within each state with only that particular compliance period vintage. For example, New Jersey needed approximately 496.7 MW online for the entire 2013 reporting year to meet the RPS requirement with 2013 vintage SRECs only. SRECs still available from prior eligible periods can also impact the Solar RPS requirements. Additionally, the data presented above does not include projects that are in the pipeline or currently going through the registration process in each state program. This data represents specifically the projects that have been approved for the corresponding state SREC markets as of the dates noted.

Note: SREC requirements for markets without fixed SREC targets have been forecast based on EIA Report “Retail Sales of Electricity by State by Provider” updated 11/8/13. Projected SRECs required utilizes the most recent EIA electricity data applying an average 1.5% growth rate per forecast year. The state’s RPS Solar requirement is then multiplied by forecast total electricity sales to arrive at projected SRECs required. Projected capacity required is based on a factor of 1,200 MWh in PJM states and 1,160 MWh in MA, generated per MW of installed capacity per year.

Massachusetts Solar Loan Program Finalized

Posted January 14th, 2015 by SRECTrade.

On January 6, 2015, the Patrick Administration announced the final design of a $30 million residential solar loan program aimed to facilitate 6,000 loans over the next three years. The program, a partnership between the Massachusetts Department of Energy Resources (DOER) and MassCEC, will work with local banks and credit unions to provide financing to homeowners interested in solar electrical systems. The loan will expand borrowing options through lower interest rate loans and encourage loans for homeowners with lower income or lower credit scores.

Though loan terms may vary by lender, homeowners who are approved for Mass Solar Loan can expect:

  • An interest rate of 3 percent or lower
  • A loan for between $3,000 and $35,000
  • A payback period of up to 10 years if the loan is for $15,000 or more
  • The ability to readjust the terms of the loan in the event of changes in state and federal tax credits

Over the next few months, MassCEC will work to enhance the program website, signup banks and credit unions to participate in this program and develop an online application tool. It is anticipated that the program will begin accepting solar loan applications by Spring 2015.

For more information on this program you can refer to the Mass Solar Loan Webpage and the DOER Final Loan Design Page.

Please contact SRECTrade if you have any questions.

New Jersey Market Update Webinar – January 22nd at 2 pm ET

Posted January 13th, 2015 by SRECTrade.

SRECTrade will host a webinar on Thursday, January 22nd at 2 pm ET to review the New Jersey SREC market.

Items to be covered in the webinar:

  • Solar supply and RPS demand dynamics
  • Market pricing overview
  • Impacts of the Basic Generation Service electricity auction

To register for the webinar click here.

January 2015 SREC Pricing Update and Auction Results

Posted January 12th, 2015 by SRECTrade.

As of January 8, 2015, below is a summary of indicative pricing across the SREC markets SRECTrade covers (for a PDF copy click here). For January 2015 auction results, scroll down.

2015_01_08_SRECTrade_SREC_Markets

Note: All pricing and notes included are indicative and subject to change. Please contact us for most current markets. If a market is not quoted herein, please contact us directly for further information. 

SRECTrade’s January 2015 SREC Auction closed on 1/7/2015. The clearing prices presented below are representative of transactions executed through the SRECTrade auction. This does not include over the counter spot and forward contract transactions completed through SRECTrade’s brokerage desk. For more information on our brokerage services for corporate clients please click here. Below are the clearing prices by vintage across the SRECs transacted in the auction.

Auction Prices SREC Vintage Year
State 2012 2013 2014 2015
Delaware N/A N/A N/A N/A
Maryland $133.01 $140.55 $152.00 N/A
Massachusetts SREC-I N/A N/A N/A N/A
New Jersey* N/A $200.00 $205.00 $210.00
Ohio Sited N/A N/A $48.00 N/A
Ohio Adjacent N/A N/A $48.00 N/A
Pennsylvania N/A $30.20 $50.51 N/A
Washington, DC N/A $473.01 $490.00 N/A

*Note: New Jersey pricing is representative of recent transactions executed over the counter prior to the auction close.

This document is protected by copyright laws and contains material proprietary to SRECTrade, Inc. It or any components may not be reproduced, republished, distributed, transmitted, displayed, broadcast or otherwise exploited in any manner without the express prior written permission of SRECTrade, Inc. The receipt or possession of this document does not convey any rights to reproduce, disclose, or distribute its contents, or to manufacture, use, or sell anything that it may describe, in whole or in part. If consent to use these materials is granted, a link to the current version of this document on the SRECTrade website must be included for reference.

Massachusetts DOER Discusses Final Design to Bring Renewable Thermal into APS

Posted December 19th, 2014 by SRECTrade.

On Tuesday, December 16th the DOER presented a draft of their final design for guidelines pertaining to the inclusion of renewable thermal technologies in the Massachusetts Alternative Portfolio Standard (APS). Per the statute, the DOER will be including technologies that generate useful thermal energy from sunlight, biomass, biogas, liquid biofuel or naturally occurring temperature differences in the ground, air, or water, and has been conducting a comprehensive stakeholder review prior to the formal rulemaking process next year.

While the regulations will likely not go into effect until Summer 2015, the current draft proposes to be retroactive, so that eligible systems installed from January 1, 2015 onwards could qualify for the APS. This is welcome news for renewable technologies such as Solar Hot Water systems, which are not currently included in the state’s Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) nor the APS.

Here we will highlight several aspects of the regulation that are especially important for Solar Hot Water installers and owners. Under the proposed draft, eligible solar thermal technologies must be:

– Active solar thermal technology using evacuated tubes or flat place collectors for space heating, domestic hot water, or process hot water.

In terms of the specific registration metering requirements, the draft designates a cutoff between “Small” and “Large” solar thermal systems at surface area of 660 square feet. Larger systems will likely be required to adhere to stringent metering and reporting standards, while small systems will be able to produce Alternative Energy Credits (AECs) based off of the projected output of their system.

In order to reduce the complexity of AEC sales for residential and small commercial owners that fall under the “Small” category of each of these renewable thermal technologies, the DOER is proposing a 10-year upfront strip of AECs in lieu of producing AECs over time. Non-emitting renewable thermal technologies, like Solar Hot Water, would also receive a multiplier on their credits in recognition of their environmental advantage and current higher levelized cost.

Currently the MA APS market is undersupplied, with credits trading in the range of $15-$20/AEC. SRECTrade will continue to follow these regulations closely and keep stakeholders informed on how we will be assisting system owners with AEC transaction and management services.

December 11, 2014 Massachusetts SREC Market Update Webinar Slides and Recording Available

Posted December 12th, 2014 by SRECTrade.

On December 11, 2014, SRECTrade hosted a webinar on the MA SREC market. For access to the slides please click here: SRECTrade 12/11/14 MA SREC Update. For access to a video recording of the webinar, click the image below.

This document and recording is protected by copyright laws and contains material proprietary to SRECTrade, Inc. It or any components may not be reproduced, republished, distributed, transmitted, displayed, broadcast or otherwise exploited in any manner without the express prior written permission of SRECTrade, Inc. The receipt or possession of this document does not convey any rights to reproduce, disclose, or distribute its contents, or to manufacture, use, or sell anything that it may describe, in whole or in part. If consent to use these materials is granted, a link to the current version of this document on the SRECTrade website must be included for reference.