Maryland Brighter Tomorrow Act SB-783

Posted December 20th, 2024 by SRECTrade.

There has been an update to Maryland’s renewable energy landscape: 2024 Senate Bill 783 – The Brighter Tomorrow Act. This new legislation will have a direct impact on SREC processing in 2025.

Key Highlights:

SREC Multiplier:
Starting January 1, 2025, a SREC multiplier will be implemented, adding a potential return of up to 1.5 times the market rate for Certified SRECs.
To qualify for this multiplier and Certified SREC status, solar projects must be placed in service between July 1, 2024, and January 1, 2028.
The multiplier will allow facilities to earn up to 1.5 times the value of the SREC pricing. Please note that this is not a guaranteed payout, but rather the potential for an increased price. Maryland SREC prices will likely not be 1.5x the Alternative Compliance Payment (ACP), but could go above the ACP.

Capacity Limits:
The first 300 MW AC of solar systems 20 kW and less are eligible for the multiplier.
The first 270 MW AC of solar 20 kW to 5 MW are eligible for the multiplier.

SREC Lifespan:
All SRECs will now have a 5-year lifespan, an increase from the current 3-year lifespan.

Additional Application Fees:
The Maryland Public Service Commission (PSC) will begin to collect application fees for all facilities. This includes applications for systems that are not eligible for the multiplier as well. Below is the fee structure that will be required:
$50.00 for systems 20kW or less.
$200.00 for systems greater than 20kW.

In addition to the application fees, there will be changes to the Maryland application submission process. As more information becomes available, we will provide additional details to our clients and partners.


As always, you may contact our support team if you have any questions.

CARB approves major updates to strengthen the LCFS Program

Posted November 12th, 2024 by SRECTrade.

On November 8th, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) approved the proposed updates to the Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) regulation. This approval is the culmination of a two-year rulemaking process which saw passionate input from a diverse range of stakeholders.  The updated regulation will set more ambitious carbon reduction standards and increase the stringency of credit qualifications, to ensure long-term integrity in the program.

We’ve provided a summary of the key updates to the regulation, focusing on electric fleets and EV networks. You can also find more detailed information on the rulemaking website.

Next Steps and Implementation Timeline

CARB is anticipated to complete their final rulemaking documents by early January and submit them to the State’s Office of Administrative Law. From there, the administrative office will review the entire rulemaking process and the amendments to ensure compliance with California law. If everything meets the necessary requirements, the updates to the regulation will go into effect on April 1, 2025. However, it’s important to note that some amendments, such as forklift metering and verification requirements, have specific delayed implementation dates to give businesses time to adapt to the new requirements (see below).

More Aggressive Carbon Intensity Standard

CARB has tightened the Carbon Intensity (CI) standard, making the carbon reduction goals more ambitious than previously required, with a large single-year drop in CI Standard in 2025.  This adjustment is CARB’s most significant lever to increase the value of Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) credits and encourage long-term participation in the program. This change is already leading to increased LCFS credit values in the market.

Additionally, the amendments introduce an Automatic Adjustment Mechanism starting in 2028. This new tool will set criteria that automatically trigger a tighter CI standard when credit supply volumes hit a certain threshold. This improvement allows the market to adapt much quicker than in the past, leading to more stable credit values in the long-term.

Updates for Electric Forklifts

Energy Economy Ratio (EER)

Once the regulation updates are implemented, forklifts will no longer be segregated by model year for reporting. However, all forklifts with a capacity of less than 12,000 lbs (the majority of the deployed electric forklift population) will see a 37% decrease in the Energy Economy Ratio (from 3.8 to 2.4). This means fewer credits will be generated per amount of electricity used.

Forklift Metering will be required in 2026

Starting in 2026, forklifts will no longer be allowed to estimate energy usage. Instead, fleets will need to measure the energy used to charge forklifts, bringing forklifts in line with all other categories of electric vehicles (EVs). SRECTrade has a cost-effective forklift metering solution for our partners, which are already being deployed in Oregon, Washington and Canada and will provide more information to our partners as this deadline approaches. 

New Opportunity to generate revenue for charging electric Transport Refrigeration Units (eTRUs)

The right to generate credits for charging eTRUs has changed so that the owner of the facility where the eTRU charger is located can claim the credits. Previously, the regulation gave the right to report credits to the owner of the eTRU. As with other electric vehicle reporting, it is necessary to measure the energy use at the eTRU charger in order to generate credits. For entities that participated under the previous regime, they can continue to generate credits if they own the facilities where their eTRUs are charged, or they can work with the facility owner to arrange a pass through of credit reporting rights.

Verification of Reporting

Historically, EV Charging data has been exempt from third party verification requirements under the LCFS program. However, starting with electricity used in 2026, LCFS credits from using electricity for fuel (including EV Charging, e-forklifts, eTRUs, etc.) will be subject to verification. Verification is completed after the reporting is submitted to the regulator; for example, for all 2026 reporting, verification work will be completed in early 2027. SRECTrade has experience in successfully navigating verification and auditing processes and will reach out to our partners with more details on what to expect with verification as the implementation date approaches. 


Feel free to reach out to the SRECTrade Clean Transportation Team (cleanfuels@srectrade.com) if you have any questions or need further clarification on any of these points!

Looking Back at Washington Clean Fuel Standard’s First Year (Part 2)

Posted July 30th, 2024 by SRECTrade.

This is a two-part post. Click here for Part 1

Credit Prices Slump Amid Oversupply

The first Washington Clean Fuel Standard (CFS) credits were transacted around the $100 mark in August 2023. However, credit value has steadily declined since the program began. The latest market data made available by Ecology indicated a $40 average for credits transferred in June 2024, with only 4 recorded transfers. Credit pricing has continued to decline since, with trades in July reported as low as $20, similar to levels seen for the Oregon Clean Fuels Program.  

Source: Department of Ecology

Ecology To Make Changes to CFS Rules

Ecology continues to hold workshops to collect stakeholder feedback on potential changes to the program. Changes being proposed include:

  • Integrating sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) into the program
  • Requiring third-party verification for fuel pathway applications and fuel transaction reports
  • Expanding the zero-emission infrastructure capacity crediting program to align with changes proposed for the CA-LCFS
  • Adjusting book-and-claim accounting requirements for electricity and renewable natural gas

Notably, Ecology will not be modifying the carbon intensity targets in this rulemaking, despite the apparent oversupply of credits and declining credit prices. 

Initiative 2117

In November, Washington voters will consider Initiative 2117 which, if approved, would repeal the Climate Commitment Act and the state’s Cap and Invest program. While Initiative 2117 leaves the Clean Fuel Standard intact, the balance of credits and deficits may be impacted: “Repealing the Climate Commitment Act will likely have an impact on the flow of renewable diesel to the state of Washington as the [Cap and Invest] program increases the cost of diesel made from crude oil, the exact thing renewable diesel is replacing. Without this policy in place, renewable diesel will likely go elsewhere where this type of carbon policy pricing arbitrage exists such as California and Canada” says Will Faulkner, founder of CarbonAcumen.

Recent polling indicated that 48% of respondents would vote to repeal the Climate Commitment Act, with an additional 18% undecided.

Looking Back at Washington Clean Fuel Standard’s First Year (Part 1)

Posted July 30th, 2024 by SRECTrade.

This is a two-part post. Click here for Part 2.

Last month, the Washington Department of Ecology (Ecology) published the latest credit and deficit data for the state’s Clean Fuel Standard (CFS). With a full year of program data available, we can take a look at some emerging trends and compare against forecasts developed ahead of the launch of the program. 

Growing Credit Bank

After the first year of the program, the cumulative credit bank (a measure of net credits and deficits generated over the life of the program) was just shy of one million credits. The number of excess credits generated in Q4 was almost 350,000, compared to only about 150,000 in Q1 of the program. Meanwhile, the number of deficits generated has declined slowly over the past year, while the number of credits has been steadily increasing.

Source: Department of Ecology

Ethanol and Residential EV Charging Lead Credit Generation

CFS credit generation in 2023 was led by ethanol (39%) and electricity (37%), with most of the credits from electricity generated by residential EV charging. Residential EV credits are issued to utilities based on estimates. Note that previous quarterly reports did not include the quantity of residential EV credits because they were issued all at once earlier this year. Credits from bio-based diesel (renewable diesel and biodiesel) represented another 23% of credits generated in 2023.  

Source: Department of Ecology

2022 Fuel Supply Forecast

In September 2022, before the CFS was initiated, the Washington Department of Commerce commissioned a fuel supply forecast to estimate the number of credits required to comply in the first year of the program. While the forecast relies on a number of assumptions in a rapidly changing sector, it is intended to provide a reasonable preview of how the program will perform in its first year. With the latest data release from Ecology, it is now possible to compare the fuel supply forecast against actual credit and deficit generation in 2023. 

*Capacity/Infrastructure credit program was not initialized until 2024

Source: Department of Commerce Fuel Supply Forecast

The 2022 forecast underestimated the number of credits that would be generated from ethanol, EVs, and renewable diesel, while overestimating the number of credits from biodiesel. Most significantly, the Commerce study estimated the program would end the year with a net bank of 300,000 credit. Instead the net bank was over three times that amount. 

The greatest variance was electricity, where the forecast underestimated the number of credits by an order of magnitude. Possible explanations may include:

  • Greater than expected EV adoption rates – the forecast relied on vehicle registration data from 2021 and through June 2022. However, the state saw the largest increase in EV market share in 2023 of any state, with a 43% increase in EV and plug-in hybrid (PHEVs) registrations. Nearly one-fourth of vehicles delivered to dealerships in 2023 were EVs and PHEVs. 
  • Lower carbon intensity –  the number of credits generated from EV is partially a function of the carbon intensity (CI) of the electricity used to charge the vehicle. The forecast uses a statewide average CI score to calculate EV credits, similarly to how the California LCFS program works in this regard. However, the Washington CFS uses utility-specific CIs. The CI score in Seattle, for instance, is significantly lower than the CI in Spokane. A closer look at vehicle registration data would likely show that EV adoption rates are much higher near Seattle than in eastern Washington.

Under the CFS regulations, the Department of Commerce is required to develop a “periodic fuel supply forecast to project the availability of fuels to Washington necessary for compliance with clean fuels program requirements.”

Click here for Part 2.

CARB Schedules November Board Hearing Amid Market Volatility

Posted May 22nd, 2024 by SRECTrade.

Earlier this week, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) announced that LCFS changes would be considered at a November 8th public hearing. The hearing was originally scheduled for March but was canceled after significant stakeholder pushback on the reforms proposed in December 2023. Agency staff instead held a workshop last month to present updated modeling and hear additional feedback.

The agency will publish revised rulemaking language in the coming months. Notably, CARB indicated that the new proposal would include “a near term step-down in carbon intensity benchmarks of 7% or greater” in order to address the oversupply of credits. 

LCFS pricing had fallen to just $40 on May 16 but rallied slightly following the CARB announcement. Pricing was heard around $47 as of May 21. 

Source: CARB

LCFS Credit Surplus Grows, Prices Decline as CARB Mulls Changes

Posted May 2nd, 2024 by SRECTrade.

New data released by the California Air Resources Board (CARB) showed a net gain of nearly 3 million Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) credits. While the agency considers adjusting the near-term targets to address the growing oversupply of credits, continued regulatory uncertainty adds downward pressure to credit pricing

Note: Quarterly data is published about 5 months after the end of the quarter. Q1 2024 data will be available by July 31.

The latest quarterly report published by CARB this week indicated that 2.9 million more credits were generated than deficits in Q4 2023, pushing the cumulative credit bank to a record 23.5 million credits.

Source: CARB

Total deficit generation was down 4% from last quarter as sales of gasoline and conventional continue to shrink.

Overall credit generation, however, grew by nearly 6% driven by increases from the largest credit sources: renewable diesel (7% QoQ), electricity (6%) and renewable natural gas (6%). Bio-based diesel (includes both renewable and biodiesel) made up a record 66% of diesel reported in the state program. Credits from sustainable aviation fuel, while only making up less than 1% of all credits, rose by 66% last quarter. 

Source: CARB

CARB Considers Further Changes During April Workshop

The new data comes just weeks after a somewhat contentious workshop held by CARB, where various stakeholders called for more significant changes to the program than regulators appear to be willing to consider. In response to stakeholder comments on reforms proposed in December 2023, CARB canceled the March board hearing and held an all-day workshop on April 10 to present updated modeling and hear additional feedback.

Source: CARB

Notably, CARB suggested they would modify the near-term CI reduction schedule in response to the growth in the credit bank. However, staff appear to be maintaining the 30% reduction by 2023 target,  and continued to defend most of the original proposal.

CARB updated their modeling and presented alternatives to the near-term CI benchmark reductions, or “step-downs.” In addition to the originally proposed 5% step-down in 2025, staff modeled the impact of 7% and 9% step-down scenarios on the cumulative credit bank. Staff also modeled a scenario where the auto-adjustment mechanism was triggered twice before 2030 (the original reforms only allow for one triggering by 2030). 

Source: CARB

While CARB did not appear to favor one scenario over the other, staff indicated that “…given the growth in the credit bank, staff determined the market could likely support a larger step-down than presented in the [original proposal].”

Next Steps for LCFS

Revised amendments to the step-down would likely trigger another 15-day public comment period before the agency can formally approve changes to the program. It appears likely that revised amendments would not be published by CARB until after the 30-day comment deadline for the April 10 workshop. Staff indicated that implementation by 2025 is still possible, however administrative requirements may make this timeline challenging as the year progresses. 

LCFS Prices Continue Decline

CA LCFS credit prices continue to weaken against continued regulatory uncertainty, with a sharp drop following the April 10 workshop. Prices have continued a decline into May, with trades last heard around $57 on May 1. 

Source: CARB

Washington State Considers Changes to Clean Fuel Standard

Posted February 22nd, 2024 by SRECTrade.

The Washington Department of Ecology held a workshop on Thursday to discuss potential rule changes to the state’s Clean Fuel Standard (CFS) which was originally implemented on January 1, 2023. Ecology staff laid out the scope of this rulemaking which is expected to conclude with rule adoption by early 2025. The rulemaking will address the following topics:

  • Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) – align program rules with state legislation passed in 2023 that aims to expand use of SAF.
  • Third-Party Verification – require fuel pathway applications and fuel transaction reports to be verified by accredited verification bodies. Ecology is looking to mirror similar programs in California and Oregon, where both programs are proposing to expand existing verification requirements to include EV charging. Ecology did not clarify whether verification would be required for EVs during the workshop.
  • Expand ZEV infrastructure applicability – current rules allow for certain public fast-charging and hydrogen refueling stations to generate CFS credits based in part on station fueling capacity and not solely on the quantity of fueling. Ecology is considering expanding the current rules to allow for medium and heavy-duty infrastructure to be eligible as well. The California Air Resources Board has proposed a similar expansion of ZEV infrastructure crediting for their Low Carbon Fuel Standard. Ecology also indicated that the current ZEV infrastructure program will soon be implemented.
  • Book-and-claim accounting – Ecology staff propose to update accounting methods for biomethane and electricity.

Ecology clarified that changes to carbon intensity targets and program participation fees would not be considered during this rulemaking.

Public comments from this initial workshop may be submitted by March 24. Ecology will schedule additional workshops in the spring and begin publishing draft rules this summer. Ecology aims to hold a public hearing to consider rule changes in the fall or winter.

Latest Data Shows Largest CA LCFS Credit Surplus

Posted February 16th, 2024 by SRECTrade.

Quarterly data from the California Air Resources Board (CARB) showed the largest ever credit surplus as prices fell to multi-year lows last month. Earlier this week, CARB postponed a March hearing to consider reforms to the LCFS program and may be evaluating stricter carbon intensity targets amidst stakeholder pressure.

In Q3 2023, 2.2 million more credits were generated than deficits, pushing the cumulative credit bank to over 20M credits and 3.6x greater than the average quarterly deficits generated in the prior year. This last metric is significant under the proposed amendments where an auto-acceleration mechanism (AAM) would be triggered under certain market conditions beginning in 2027.

Overall credit generation was up 9% from the previous quarter, driven by increases from the largest credit sources: renewable diesel (12% QoQ), electricity (10%), ethanol (20%), and renewable natural gas (4%). Nearly half of all credits came from bio-derived diesel which now makes up 60% of all diesel fuel consumed in the state.

Growth in credits from EV charging were driven by increases in residential credits awarded to utilities (11%), non-residential charging (17%), and heavy-duty fleet charging (19%). Credits from DC fast-chargers enrolled in the ZEV infrastructure crediting scheme fell by 4%. EVs continue to represent about one-quarter of all credits in the program. 

Oregon Clean Fuels Program Data and Rulemaking Workshop

Data for the Oregon Clean Fuels Program indicated a second straight quarter of net credit gains. In Q3, 686k credits were generated compared to just 624k deficits, a net gain of 62k credits. Last quarter saw a net gain of 81k credits, the largest quarterly increase since 2019. Following the trend in California, renewable diesel has quickly become the largest source of credits in the program, growing by 32% last quarter and 187% year-over-year.  Credits from electric forklifts were unchanged the previous two quarters after falling over 75% in Q1. 

On January 30, the Oregon Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ) held a rulemaking workshop to outline potential changes to the CFP including expanding third-party verification requirements to electricity reporting. The rulemaking will not consider changes to carbon intensity targets which were last updated in 2022. Future workshops are expected March through June. 

CARB Postpones LCFS Hearing to Reconsider Reforms

Posted February 15th, 2024 by SRECTrade.

The California Air Resources Board (CARB) announced yesterday that the March 21 public hearing to consider amendments to the Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) will be postponed to a later date. CARB plans to hold a workshop sometime in mid-April to “enable additional discussion and re-evaluation of the carbon intensity benchmarks, including the proposed step-down and auto-acceleration mechanism, as well as more consideration of the proposed sustainability guardrails, among other topics.” The 45-day public comment period will still close on February 20. 

CARB’s postponement comes two weeks after the release of quarterly data which indicated the largest ever net credit surplus and as LCFS credit pricing surpasses multi-year lows.

New Mexico Just Passed a Clean Fuel Standard. Which Other States Are Considering Legislation?

Posted February 14th, 2024 by SRECTrade.

The New Mexico Senate approved HB41 by a vote of 26-15 on Tuesday night. The bill now heads to Governor Grisham for signature. Once signed into law, New Mexico will become the fourth state with a clean fuel standard behind Washington, Oregon, and California.  

The bill would require the New Mexico Department of Environment to implement low carbon fuel standard regulations by July 2026. The program would mandate a 20% reduction in carbon intensity by 2030 and a 30% reduction by 2040, while creating mechanisms for generating and trading credits similar to those of existing programs.

Which Other States are Considering Clean Fuel Policy?

Minnesota

Minnesota approved a 100% clean energy standard in 2023 and may be poised to become the next state to pass a clean fuel standard this year. Last week, a working group convened by the legislature delivered a report recommending more moderate carbon intensity targets than those included in the current legislation. Minnesota’s 2024 legislative session concludes on May 20. 

New York

The New York Senate approved S. 1292 in June 2023 but the bill failed to pass in the State Assembly. Clean fuel policy has been considered by New York lawmakers for a number of years but has struggled to gain support with key stakeholders including environmental groups. 

Michigan

In 2023, lawmakers introduced H.B 5083 and S.B 275 to establish a clean fuel standard for the state. The bill would require a 35% reduction in the carbon intensity of transportation fuels by 2035. The bill has yet to be heard by a legislative committee in the current session and was not included in sweeping climate policies approved last November. 

Several other states are considering clean fuel standard legislation including: Massachusetts, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Hawaii, and Illinois.